
Venture capital: an overview
We believe that venture capital works best when VCs give their energy to help companies succeed.
At Molten this ‘energy’ can come in the form of capital, experience or knowledge, as well as building
relationships with our portfolio companies that demonstrate our commitment for the long term.
In its most basic form, venture capital (VC) is a form of financing where
capital is invested into a company—a privately held start-up or small
business—in exchange for equity or convertible debt in the company.
While investing in early-stage technology companies comes with
a degree of risk, VCs are driven by a conviction that tomorrow’s
problems won’t be solved by today’s conventions, and that the
process of rapid technological innovation and transformation is set to
continue.
As well as generating returns for investors, VC is about empowering
start-up businesses with capital, mentorship, and advice to help them
succeed in their endeavours, and in doing so, helping them create
products and services that improve the human experience.
Sometime these endeavours are connected to some of the world’s
largest and most complex challenges, and at other times they could
involve entirely new problem sets which are yet to be clearly defined.
Starting a new business is always a daunting experience, and
entrepreneurs often find themselves having to educate investors,
customers, and the broader market as to why they exist at all.
Companies raise money from VC investors to:
1. help build their business and products
2. recruit and retain a good pipeline of talent
3. make acquisitions and invest further into intellectual property
4. acquire access to relevant networks and relationships, and
5. gain advice and guidance from seasoned operators
VC investors take the opportunity to assess companies, and invest
in those they believe to have highly credible management teams, a
unique product offering, and a framework to execute a business plan
and become a prominent competitor in their respective market niche.
There are three major VC markets globally which are the US, Europe, and
Asia, and in 2023, over $300bn was invested between those regions in
start-up businesses. While the US and Asia are larger than the European
VC market, Europe is growing at a faster rate, and the capital sought to
support that market growth is failing to keep pace. For this reason, Molten
continues to see great opportunities to invest in the category-defining
businesses of tomorrow, with a focus on investing in the best venture-
stage opportunities throughout Europe.
17%
European VC market CAGR
(2015-2023)
$66bn
European VC market valuation
(2023)
189
No. of active unicorns in Europe
combined value over $500bn (2023)
EU deals by round size ($bn) per year
<$2M $2-$10M $10-$20M $20-$50M $50-$100M $100-250M $250m+
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
12,000
2024
(YTD)
202320222021202020192018201720162015
Source: Pitchbook data up to 31 March 2024
Capital invested by stage ($bn) per year
<$2M $2-$10M $10-$20M $20-$50M $50-$100M $100-250M $250m+
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Source: Pitchbook data up to 31 March 2024
Our market at a glance
Market events that have occurred
in VC in the past year
Over the past 12 months the global economy has experienced
stabilised high interest rates across most major currencies, including
the USD, EUR and GBP. Towards the end of 2022 (and into the
beginning of 2023) asset prices were volatile which seeped into the
private markets. Across 2023 and early 2024, both valuations and
volatility began to stabilise, with recent new heights on the S&P 500,
STOXX 600, and the FTSE 100.
Going forward, the consensus for global monetary policy appears
to favour dovish sentiment which historically has supported upside
potential for equity prices. As these market dynamics filter into the
VC market there is a sense of cautious optimism for new compelling
investment opportunities. In September 2023 we saw the highly
anticipated Tech IPO for ARM Holdings which was widely regarded
as a barometer for the IPO market. ARM successfully raised nearly $5
billion and has shown promising after-market performance. This is
evidencing that ‘good deals can get done’ and that the public market
is ready to support outstanding high growth technology businesses.
The market is showing signs of improvement, and technology
businesses are coming back into focus to drive performance through
innovation. Much of the tailwind experienced in the technology
market over the past 12 months has been driven by the potential
productivity gains through rapid adoption of artificial intelligence.
Microsoft’s most recent investment in Open AI valued the business
at $80 billion, NVIDIA’s market cap had crossed $2 trillion, surpassing
Google and closing in on Apple and Microsoft. At the earlier stages of
the business lifecycle, Molten is seeing companies take the next step
in this market and focusing more closely on real-world applications to
drive productivity gains.
Private markets typically lag public markets and 2023 displayed the
largest contraction in European VC within the last ten years. 2023
saw $66 billion invested in European VC deals which was down 42%
from the previous year. Much of that contraction was due to liquidity
restrictions in a challenging fundraising environment coupled with
repricing dynamics as a result of a higher interest-rate environment.
Given the public sphere showed more promising returns than
anticipated over the last 12 months to March 2024, we anticipate
seeing improvements in the private market over the next 12 months
due to that lag effect.
Currently in 2024, we are witnessing more capital invested in European
VC than in 2023. Since 2015 that continues to follow a growth trajectory
for the market which is scaling more rapidly than the US or Asia.
Looking closely at the quarterly investment data for European VC (see
charts on bottom of this page), it was the larger rounds in excess of
$100 million that saw the biggest contractions throughout 2023, while
investment in smaller/earlier rounds continued to persist at more
modest valuations. Q1 2024 saw some larger deals (in excess of $250
million) come to market, raising over $7 billion in aggregate in the first
quarter. Comparatively, the total investment in rounds at or above $250
million over all four quarters in 2023 was only $11 billion.
Heading into the remainder of 2024, Molten sees value opportunities
in the market. With the recent acquisition of Forward Partners, and
having acquired a stake in Seedcamp III, we have an expanded
portfolio of assets, combined with those in our Fund of Funds
programme, which continue to present us with unique investment
opportunities. With this in mind, Molten is well positioned to invest in
the most interesting and competitive deals in the market throughout
the next 12 months.
Who are Molten and how do they fit in the VC sphere?
Molten disrupted the conventional venture capital model,
recognising the limitations of traditional approaches in driving
sustainable, transformative growth by pursuing an IPO in 2016.
Our focus is to collaborate with entrepreneurs who share in our
conviction that disruptive innovation is imperative for building
enduring, category-defining businesses.
Molten’s legacy traces back to 2006 when Esprit Capital Partners
was established as a spin-off from a larger asset manager.
Since then, we have scaled into a well-established VC platform,
supported by a team of over 60 professionals dedicated to
investing in promising start up and growth-stage businesses.
While headquartered in London and Dublin, Molten’s investment
platform has a pan-European mandate, spanning the entire lifecycle
from seed stage (typically as a limited partner) to later stages
(typically as a direct investor) through to IPO or acquisition. Our
adaptable platform is designed to facilitate long-term investments
and support companies throughout economic cycles, with a focus
on businesses capable of fundamentally disrupting the status quo
and becoming category leaders.
As a minority equity investor, Molten fosters early relationships
with portfolio companies, and adds value through active Board
participation. Beyond capital, we provide entrepreneurs and
management teams with strategic advice, mentorship, and access
to a global network, which creates outcomes for all stakeholders,
including our Shareholders.
Molten operates a unified strategy across three vehicles: the plc,
and the managed EIS and VCT funds. Where investments qualify,
this structure enables us to combine three capital pools to invest in
the UK and Europe’s most promising technology companies in a
risk-adjusted and tax-efficient manner for our respective investors.
Additionally, our Fund of Funds programme, established in 2017,
enables us to gain exposure and invest in the most promising seed
and early-stage venture capital funds across the UK and Europe.
Seed and early-stage investing is a highly localised endeavour,
requiring deep networks within local ecosystems of angel investors,
incubators, and technology entrepreneurs. We believe that
nascent businesses are best funded by investors who can engage
founders locally or within specific verticals, and our Fund of Funds
programme (complemented by the acquisition of Forward Partners)
allows us to effectively leverage this expertise.
Our decision in 2016 to IPO on the AlM growth market of the
London Stock Exchange, and Euronext Dublin, thereby adapting
beyond the traditional GP/LP model to become one of the largest
public venture capital firms in Europe, was partly driven by our
commitment to ‘democratise’ the returns available from venture
capital as an asset class, and make the rewards of our investments
accessible to public market investors, not just a small group of
Limited Partners.
Our innovative structure as a public company allows us to direct
capital from institutional and retail investors towards our portfolio
companies. We benefit from an evergreen balance sheet strategy
that offers flexible investment terms, and allows Molten to focus
on helping portfolio companies grow, while evaluating the market
for optimal exit conditions, which we aim to achieve above NAV to
maximise value for our Shareholders. This structure also provides
us with the flexibility to raise capital from public market investors,
including retail investors via the PrimaryBid platform, giving us the
‘firepower’ to pursue investment opportunities.
Our direct investment strategy primarily focuses on early and
growth-stage opportunities. We maintain a balanced portfolio that is
diversified across four key sectors of consumer tech, enterprise tech,
digital health and wellness, hardware and deeptech.
MOLTENVENTURES.COM 13 12 ANNUAL REPORT FY24
STRATEGIC REPORT
Market overview